• The UK's largest Retirement Living Property conference returns on 26th November - join hundreds of delegates......
  • The Key Opportunities in Build to Rent & Resi Investment will be outlined on 27th November in London
  • Join the leading organisations in the Resi Investment & Build to Rent sectors

Events Diary

London Resi Conference 2020

Tuesday 3rd March 2020

Affordable Housing Investment 2020

Tuesday 17th March 2020

Global Student Housing 2020

Tuesday 12th May 2020

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2020 property trend predictions

Following on from our 2019 review, we’re taking a closer look at some of the key themes and topics that could affect property sectors throughout 2020.

Year in review: 2019 property market

2019 has been a tumultuous year across many markets, perhaps not least for experts and consumers within property sectors. However, not all doom and gloom, there have also been some key milestones throughout the year, such as the celebration of the 100-year anniversary of modern council housing.

The growth of the UK’s Build to Rent sector

Recent research by Savills, commissioned for the British Property Federation, has highlighted 20% year on year growth in the Build to Rent (BTR) sector, with the number of completed units rising by 31% over the same period. For an industry significantly increasing its contribution to housing delivery right now, we’re taking a closer look at what’s going on in the market.

The evolution of retirement living

It’s a known fact that the current UK population is ageing. With people living longer than ever before, around 23% of the population is made up of those aged 60 or over[1], meaning we also have a much greater span of ages that are determined as ‘elderly’. As such, retirement living has had to evolve in recent years, providing options outside of the traditional care home and considering other aspects of senior living outside of the stereotyped mindset.

We’re taking a look at the evolution of retirement living so far to analyse key drivers and challenges within the market.

Changing demographics

As we’ve already highlighted, we are living longer lives than ever before and advancements in healthcare and technology mean we are better able to manage health conditions and remain independent. On top of this, it’s predicted that the 90yrs+ demographic is set to rise by around 33% by 2027[2]. Such significant changes in demographics mean there is a greater need for retirement housing stock to diversify and provide more suitable options for different cohorts.

Economic situations driving new

Another key driver of the growing retirement housing sector is the economic benefit that long-term homeowners are realising in terms of downsizing. Releasing housing wealth allows homeowners in their retirement years to improve their living standards and enjoy the type of lifestyle they had envisioned.

From an investment point of view, the outlook is currently favourable as different retirement housing sales models cater to different price points and levels of investor involvement and can provide both short and long-term investment for developers.

Challenges in housing stock

As discussed within our interview with Savills’ Lawrence Bowles, we are seeing a contrast between the current retirement housing stock available compared to what is needed, as it is clear that greater housing delivery is needed to meet the needs of a growing older population. Current planning application restrictions are contributing to challenges around the amount of stock being released to market, both in terms of new delivery and redeveloping land lots.

As well as challenges in housing delivery, much of the existing stock is desperate for refurbishment, as over half of current specialist retirement housing was built or last refurbished over 30 years ago[3].

Diversity of investment

Growth in the retirement living and care home market has largely come from the private sector in recent years, although we are seeing greater diversity if terms of the type of investors coming to market and retirement homes models they are opting for. Notable investments within the last few months alone include Audley Group forming a joint venture with Schroders and Octopus Real Estate, spreading out capital investment and sharing expertise in development and operation to provide quality, new developments.

Join us for the 10th annual Care Homes and Retirement Living conference on Tuesday 26th November 2019, where we will be discussing opportunities and challenges within the senior living market, looking at where investment is coming from and analysing trends in the industry.

You can book your place via the LD Events website here. Alternatively, sign up to receive our email newsletter and we’ll send updates and reminders about our conferences straight to your inbox.

[1] https://www.mha.org.uk/news/policy-influencing/facts-stats/

[2] http://thinkhouse.org.uk/2018/knight.pdf

[3] https://pdf.euro.savills.co.uk/uk/spotlight-on/spotlight---retirement-living.pdf

Posted: 09/09/2019
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